Projects

Things I've Built

Open-source tools for prediction markets, portfolio analytics, and quantitative research.

Featured · 100+ ★
oracle3
Autonomous prediction market trading agent deploying Wang Transform pricing, constraint-based arbitrage, and LLM strategies across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Solana. 8 arbitrage + 2 model-driven strategies. 633 tests. Apache 2.0.
GitHub → · Docs · Python 3.10+
clawdfolio PyPI
Multi-broker portfolio analytics. Fama–French factor exposure, GARCH forecasting, covered call strategy (83% win rate, +3.0% alpha over 11 years). Supports Longport and Moomoo.
pip install clawdfolio · MIT
Market Bubble Index Live
7-indicator composite index for market bubble risk. Hybrid 3-layer drawdown model (Lasso + Bayesian Beta-Binomial + EVT/GPD). AUC 0.802. Two strategies beat Buy & Hold in 10-year backtest.
Live dashboard · Python
vol-regime-toolkit
Volatility regime analysis for systematic options selling. IV percentile tracking, realized vol (close-to-close + Parkinson), GARCH(1,1) forecasting, correlation regime monitor.
Python · MIT
prediction-market-pricing
Replication code for the main paper. Wang MLE, stacked panel, cross-platform validation, external benchmark. Full pipeline with data dictionary.
Python · MIT
vibeathon HackIllinois
50 LLM agents (historical/contemporary figures with 17-dimension personalities) autonomously form teams, brainstorm, and produce hackathon proposals. 263 simulation rounds.
Replay · Arena
investment-dashboard React
Interactive portfolio dashboard with P&L charts, holdings analysis, risk radar, and CSV upload from real broker data. React + TypeScript + Recharts.
Live demo · TypeScript
crypto-return-prediction
24-hour crypto return prediction with LightGBM ensemble across 355 assets. HKU Web3 Quant competition.
Jupyter · Python
ESG Stock Prediction
Stock value prediction using ESG factors. Random Forest with walk-forward backtesting.
Jupyter · Python